Naidu Reminds Amit Shah Of The Promise On Delimitation

AP Chief Minister strongly feels that he can use delimitation of Assembly constituencies to stop YS Jagan Mohan Reddy from coming to power in 2019. Reminds Amit Shah of the promise.

New Delhi: AP CM Chandra babu Naidu felt that delimitation of Assembly segments can stop the main opposition YSRC from coming to power in 2019 elections.

Chandrababu Naidu, who met BJP Chief Amit Shah, offered the latter TTD prasadam and congratulated him on the recent spectacular victory in UP elections. Naidu reminded Amit Shah that delimitation of Assembly segments in both Telugu states was a part of AP Reorganisation Act which has not been implemented for three years.

Naidu suggested to BJP Chief that making use of Section 26 of AP Bifurcation Act should be considered for the sake of delimitation rather than going for amendment of  Article 170 of the Constitution for delimitation as an amendment requires two-thirds  majority in both the houses and also 50 percent of the State Legislatures in the country have to approve it.

CBN remained the BJP chief of the promise of Governor Quota for TDP by NDA and reiterated  his stand that TDP will contest 2019 elections with BJP as its ally.

Mothkupalli  Narasimhlu, who is expecting Governor’s post in TD quota was introduced to Amit Shah by  Naidu. Union Minister M Venkaiah Naidu was also present at the residence of Amit Shah.

Leave a Comment

Amit Shah To Visit Telangana For 3 Days From May 22

The BJP has big plans for Telangana. Party president Amit Shah is visiting the State next month for three days to participate in the meetings of booth level workers.

New Delhi: BJP president Amit Shah will spend three days, May 22,23 and 24, in Telangana, party General Secretary Muralidhar Rao told media persons here on Tuesday. Amit Shah would attend three meetings with booth representatives in three days.

Muralidhar Rao said the party has formed committees for 15,000 booths out of a total of 32,000 booths in Telangana. He said Amit Shah would visit Telangana again in September.

The BJP General Secretary said meeting of the National Executive of the BJP will be held in Andhra Pradesh on July 15 and 16. The party is committed to strengthen itself through activating booth level committees.

It is going to be a headlong fight against the TRS. Even if some people thought of a tie-up with the TRS, the latter’s decision to give 12 percent reservations to Muslims has made it impossible, he commented. Muralidhar Rao said the Congress and the TDP leaders are in touch with the BJP and said,”You will see what happens in six months.”

We have decided to make 5,000 persons work full time for 15 days in Telangana, Rao said. He said the padadhikaris would be working in the field for one month from May 20.

Leave a Comment

Amit Shah Eyes Telangana: Targets 12 Lok Sabha seats

After the Look East policy takes a concrete shape in Odisha, Amit Shah wants to focus on Telangana where the BJP aims to win all the 17 seats, including Hyderabad.

Bhuvaneswar: Apart from five Lok Sabha seats it had won in the past, fresh target BJP is aiming in Telangana is another 12 in 2019 elections. To plan strategy for this, BJP Chief Amit Shah will tour Telangana in 3rd week of May.

Party will be strengthened from booth level and grass root level and TBJP is gearing up for agitation against Communal reservations which are going to be implemented by TRS Government.

Amit Shah will mainly focus on Hyderabad Parliamentary seat which is in the hands of AIMIM for many years. To win Hyderabad seat the BJP wants to implement UP elections strategy.
Amit Shah’s actual date to tour Hyderabad was April 7 which was postponed due to Parliament sessions and other engagements in Delhi.

National leaders are targeting 12 lok Sabha seats in Telangana including Hyderabad, a part from 5 seats they won in the past. So their main target is 17 Lok Sabha seats and for this Amit Shah is doing ground work with TBJP Chief Laxman who was in Odisha where BJP Executive Committee meeting was going on.

Leave a Comment

Is BJP Preparing To Go With YCP In 2019 Elections?

Amit Shah, the BJP president was not keen to meet AP Chief Minister N Chandrababu Naidu in the latter’s recent visit to Delhi. But PM Narendra Modi has spent 15 minutes with YSRCP MP Vijay Sai Reddy. What is going on?

Amravati: The statement of the senior BJP leader Muralidhara Rao that the BJP would go alone in Andhra Pradesh in 2019 elections is now seen as a clear indication of the party to sever ties with the ruling TDP in the State and align with the YSR Congress. The BJP is not comfortable with Chandrababu Naidu’s TDP and the alliance between the two parties was forced by the intervention of senior BJP leader M Venkaiah Naidu before the 2014 elections. Even Chandrababu Naidu on the first day of his bus yatra that started from Guntur district had declared that he would not align with the BJP that had fielded infamous Gujarath communal violence accused, Narendra Modi, as the prime ministerial candidate. But, in no time he had changed his political strategy and aligned with the BJP, only after the YSR Congress closed its door. The BJP senior leaders including Amit Shah at the national level and others from Andhra Pradesh have advised the BJP to have poll tie-up with the YSR Congress. However, Jagan Mohan Reddy is said to have rejected it fearing damage to his Christian vote bank and losing the Muslim sympathisers.

Now, after three years in power and alliance, the BJP leaders are not comfortable with Chandrababu Naidu. The TDP and Chandrababu Naidu were preventing the spread of the BJP in the State, they allege. Some of the leaders from the State believe that the BJP’s chances of expansion are sealed as long as the party is aligned with the TDP and the party can grow only if it distanced from the TDP. This is clearly understood by the party high command which is looking at the possibility of distancing from the TDP and aligning with the YSR Congress.

Sources in Delhi said that Prime Minister Narendra Modi has given 15 minutes interview to YSR Congress MP and strategist Vijay Sai Reddy in Delhi last week, while denying audience to Chandrababu Naidu during the recent NDA meeting. Shockingly, BJP chief Amit Shah too had denied interview for Chandrababu Naidu initially but had to accept it when Venkaiah Naidu himself took the AP CM to the BJP chief’s residence.

The meeting between Modi and Vijayasai Reddy is seen as a breakthrough for the 2019 alliance and new political combinations. While the minds of Modi and Shah are yet to be known outside, it is said that Jagan Mohan Reddy had given his nod for an alliance with the BJP for the next poll battle.

Meanwhile, it is said that some of the BJP leaders from Andhra Pradesh and Telangana States are lobbying for alliance with Jana Sena chief Pawan Kalyan. Though Pawan Kalyan is speaking against BJP on Special Category Status issue and is seen soft towards the TDP, these leaders are trying to convince the film hero-turned-politician to withdraw ties with the TDP, if he wanted to expand his party in the State. Perhaps this is the reason why Pawan Kalyan had openly tweeted appreciating the YSR Congress MPs for their role in fighting for the special category status in the Parliament. This small favourable twist towards YSR Congress is seen as a positive development for a new and greater political alignment for the 2019 elections.

The YSR Congress is already said to have made up its mind to share the seats with the two Left parties in the next elections, a thing that Jagan Mohan Reddy did not accept in the last elections. The CPI and the CPI-M too are moving close towards the YSR Congress taking advantage of the special category status demand. If the YCP ultimately chooses to keep away from the BJP, the national party will have to settle for an alliance e with Pavan Kalyan. Given these indications, the 2019 will see an isolated TDP and the Opposition coaxed into one or two combinations making the battle absorbing.

Leave a Comment

Is BJP Planning To Go Alone In AP In 2019 Elections?

There were incidents when the BJP leaders from the State complained against the TDP in expanding its base through the enrolment of members in the villages
  • Clarity by May last as Shah is set to address party workers

Amaravati: The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is planning to go alone in the 2019 elections in Andhra Pradesh. A good number of senior leaders of the party, excluding Union Minister M Venkaiah Naidu, are in favour of severing ties with the Telugu Desam Party (TDP) in Andhra Pradesh. The BJP leadership sees political vacuum in Andhra Pradesh and wants to fill the slot. The party chief Amit Shah had been telling the leaders to fill the vacuum by taking senior leaders from other parties and enrolling the members from the booth level. The national leadership of the party and a few leaders from the State feel that they were not able to make inroads into the State because of the alliance with the TDP and want to sever ties before they get ready for the 2019 polls.

The party wants to use the presence of senior leaders like Kavuri Sambasiva Rao and Daggubati Purandheswari from the dominant Kamma community and Kanna Lakshminarayana and Somu Veerraju from the Kapu community to rope in more number of leaders into the party. According to the leaders there is a huge gap between the ruling TDP and the Opposition YSR Congress in the State politics. Though Jana Sena chief Pawan Kalyan is planning to contest the 2019 elections he would only be sharing the anti-government votes, while the vote of the ruling TDP would remain intact. The scope of the Congress regaining its lost ground appears bleak and it is here the BJP wants to make use of the opportunity.

There were incidents when the BJP leaders from the State complained against the TDP in expanding its base through the enrolment of members in the villages. In several places, the TDP leaders have blocked the BJP’s efforts to reach out to the people at the grassroots and enroll them as party workers. The BJP leaders are thus not happy with the alliance and are mounting pressure on the national leadership to break the alliance with the TDP.

It is perhaps on these lines the BJP senior leader Muralidhara Rao had hinted at going alone in the 2019 elections. Addressing the party workers of Rajampet Lok Sabha constituency Muralidhara Rao hinted at the party going alone in the next elections. The BJP had already decided to dump the TDP in the Telangana State where Chandrababu Naidu’s party has lost its ground. The BJP leaders in TS believe that the TDP would be an unwanted burden on the party for the next elections and had decided to drop it. If that happens in TS, the party having ties in Andhra Pradesh also appear bleak.

Leave a Comment

Modi-Shah Plan: Big Push For Hindutva Ahead Of 2019

The Modi- Amit Shah duo whose social engineering game plan has yielded rich dividends in UP polls, has reportedly eyed on aggressive Hindutva agenda for an all-India appeal. ‘caste equations differ from state to state.
  • Ready for gallows for Ram temple: Uma Bharati

New Delhi: Fire brand Union minister Uma Bharati said she is ready for any kind of sacrifice for the construction of a ram temple at Ayodhya. She was speaking to reporters after meeting Yogi Adityanath, Chief minister of Uttar Pradesh.

“Ram temple is a matter of belief for me and I have immense pride in it… if I have to go to jail for it I will go, if I have to hang myself for it I will do it..If I am executed for it, I am ready,” the foremer Chief minister of Madhya Pradesh remarked.

Uma Bharati was an active participant in the ram temple movement and her controversial remark of “aur ek dhakka maro.. “ when the historic Babri Masjid was razing to ground by the Hindu zealots in 1992 strirred up a row and landed her in legal trouble.

It is quite obvious that BJP leadership is vigorously and methodically pushing the Hindutva agenda before the 2019 general elections and the Uma Bharati and others were said to be tasked with whipping up of Hindu sentiment. The warning of Chattisgarh Chief Minister Raman Singh that those who kill cows will be hanged to death; the lynching of a 55-year old man in Alwar distict of Rajasthan by the alleged cow vigilantes and the controversy thereafter, Yogi Adityanath’s Hindutva push and the controversies he has been sparking off each passing day are some of the examples of late. The Modi- Amit Shah duo whose social engineering game plan has yielded rich dividends in UP polls, has reportedly eyed on aggressive Hindutva  agenda for an all-India appeal. ‘caste equations differ from state to state. Local problems too vary. To beat out incumbency factor and win in as many states as possible in 2019 require a uniform all India strategy. The only way to strike a chord in the entire country is to touch upon the emotional issue and ram temple is the option. The temple issue has helped BJP rise big in Indian politics. So, to bank on a tested ground is better and that is what BJP is doing now” a senior Congress leader felt.

Narendra Modi who is seeking a re-election is now on upper note following the landslide win in UP. The Congress- which is down miserably- has to make a herculean effort for a comeback in the next two years. The problem for Modi may come from regional and smaller parties which are expected to gain much in their respective states and domains. Mr Modi certainly needs a strategy that could influence pan India and hence the polarization of Hindutva forces and the vigorous push of the agenda.

Leave a Comment

BJP National Chief’s Visit To Hyd Put Off

Fresh dates of Amit Shah’s visit would be announced after the party executive meeting scheduled to be held on April 15 and 16

Hyderabad: The proposed visit of Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) national president Amit Shah has been postponed, according to MLC N Ramachandra Rao.

Speaking to the media at State party office here on Thursday, Ramachandra Rao said the Hyderabad visit of Amit Shah has been postponed on the request of Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The Prime Minister asked Amit Shah to postpone his meeting as he has to coordinate with NDA allies in view of some important Bills likely to come up in Parliament, the MLC said.

Fresh dates of Amit Shah’s visit would be announced after the party executive meeting scheduled to be held on April 15 and 16, he said.

Replying to a query, Ramachandra Rao alleged that Chief Minister K Chandrasekhar Rao has violated the tradition by not offering “Pattu Vastralu” in Bhadrachalam temple.

KCR’s grandson Himanshu offered the robes on behalf of KCR. It was a blatant violation of protocol also, the BJP leader said, adding that the TRS government should function in a democratic manner and follow decades’ old tradition

Leave a Comment

BJP Chief For Hyderabad On April 7

Amit Shah would visit a Dalit habitation in Omkarnagar in Old City where he will have a community meal. Later, he will address the media at the State BJP office in Nampally

Hyderabad: BJP national president Amit Shah will reach Shamshabad airport at 9:00 am on April 7. Straightaway, he will go to Swami Function Hall at Malakpet where he will address a meeting of intellectuals, bank employees, traders and doctors.

After the meeting, Amit would visit a Dalit habitation in Omkarnagar in Old City where he will have a community meal. Later, he will address the media at the State BJP office in Nampally. He will also attend a Hyderabad parliamentary booth level meeting and would interact with party workers.

The national president of BJP would meet BJP office-bearers at a meeting being organised at Harita Plaza in the night. Amit Shah will leave for New Delhi at 8:00 am on Saturday morning.

Leave a Comment

Non-Yadav OBCs Hoist BJP In UP

(People’s Pulse)

The margin of landslide victory for BJP in UP has proven even the best of the pro-BJP electoral forecasts wrong and compounded by the 40 plus percentage of vote share that it got along with its allies demands unravelling of the prime determinants catapulting it to the corridors of power after one and a half decade. This exercise entails the employment of elimination process to discount the factors that, at the best, were not crucial in the making of the electoral outcome. On this parameter, four issues merit utmost attention, namely, demonetization, ‘development & Welfare’, leadership and candidate profile. Let’s take them one by one.

Demonetization

Contrary to the stated claim of the BJP, demonetization hasn’t been a positive factor in its impressive victory. In fact, as per the reports the party strategists were quite worried about its negative bearing so much so that one found a complete absence of the issue in all the speeches of Modi. Neither did, any of the leader’s statement or press release throughout the campaign mentioned the issue as a chief electoral plank. On the other hand the party was seriously worried about a probable negative reaction on account of its core voters hailing from, upper castes and Banias and send them feelers by promising agrarian and tax related dividends.

Development & Welfare

On this parameter, BJP simply failed to encircle Akhilesh Yadav led Samajwadi Party  as latter- a fact widely reported- was popularly perceived as having an edge in the state even by the core voters of BJP as well as BSP. The specific measures like starting of ambulance services for remote areas, special policies for girl child and female students, massive revamping of Rural Housing schemes like ‘Adarsh Loiya Gram Yojna’ along with focus on public transport and link roads were seemed to have an edge over rivals.

Leadership

The issue of leadership unequivocally went in favour of Akhilesh Yadav and his positive image became a worrying factor in the electoral strategy of both BJP as well as BSP. His extempore and witty speeches and a soft but deterministic image in the post-Samajvadi family feud were seemingly more popular than that of Modi and Mayavati. All the surveys and ratings gave him edge over his rivals throughout the election.

Candidate Profile

As usual, BJP faced the biggest challenge of rebel candidate factor on account of multiple aspirants along with its practice of declaring the final candidate in the last moment, unlike regional parties. The charges of fielding parachute candidate over the local ones have been a ticklish issue bothering the party both in Bihar as well as Uttar Pradesh.

The crucial question now meriting attention is why did BJP win such a landslide mandate despite being on the sticky wicket on the above-mentioned parameters?

The clue lies in unravelling the three dominant characteristics concerning the social base that the party focused meticulously. That the upper castes, who post-2002 had become swing voters, would consolidate behind the party after its capturing the ‘winnability quotient’ after 2014, needed no extra endeavor on part of BJP. In fact, after the ugly episode of BJP Rajput leader Dayashankar Singh’s remark upon Mayavti and the equally vulgar and abusive response by BSP leaders targeting his wife and daughter and BJP fielding his wife as a face to counter Mayavati over the issue helped upper castes further consolidate behind the party. Secondly, this election also witnessed the dilution of traditional Brahmin-Thakur electoral rivalry in favour of BJP. Also, the Banias, the core social base, despite being at the receiving end of demonetization, ended up voting for the BJP albeit reluctantly. Thus, BJP, barring few exceptions, got its 20 percent plus core voters (Upper Castes and Banias) intact despite not investing much.

Moreover, following the pattern of 2014 Lok Sabha election of employing calculated electoral sense on account of winnability  factor, BJP didn’t field a single Muslim candidate despite the community constituting more than 19% of the total electorate. A close analysis would also reveal that the party also didn’t invest much on Dalits, both Jatavs and Non- Jatavs, except for fielding non-Jatav candidates in constituencies reserved for them. In fact, BJP organized systematic rallies and meetings for OBCs, Youths, women as well as farmers except Dalits. Thus, BJP got upper caste consolidation behind it quite easily, didn’t invest much in Dalits and not at all in Muslims, leaving it to focus on the largely loose but the biggest social constituencies, namely, non-Yadav OBCs who according to various estimates constitutes around 35% of the states electorates.

One must take note  that even In the heydays of Mandal agitation in early 1990s, when the OBCs and Upper castes were at loggerheads, the leading and militant face of BJP’s Hindutva over Ram Temple issue, hailed from non-Yadav OBCs, like Kalyan Singh (Lodh), Vinay Katiyar (Kurmi), Uma Bharti (Lodh) etc. These non-Yadav OBCs suffer from a triple¬deprivation syndrome where they feel under-represented in OBC centric parties like Samajwadi Party and Dalit centric party like BSP, leading to develop a jealousy against Yadavs and contempt against Dalits, making them open to align with anyone who pampers them and make them feel represented.

The success of BJP in 2017 election, lies in tapping this social constituency of non-Yadav OBC quite meticulously. In fact, the party organized 200 “Pichhda Varga Sammelan” (OBC Conclaves), one for each two Assembly constituencies, targeting the non-Yadav OBCs throughout the state. This measure was followed by fielding them in significant numbers. Besides, the dominant image of SP as a pro-Yadav and pro-Muslim party and the same plank by BSP of exclusive focus on Muslims ended up alienating whatever the non-Yadav constituency from both SP and BSP, making BJP all the more appealing. Also, the desertion of veteran non-Yadav OBC leaders, like Swami Prasad Maurya etc. before the election took away the edge of BSP among them.

Thus, the triad of Upper castes, Banias and non-Yadav OBC, though failed to catapult BJP in Bihar due to their limited demographic numbers, the same clinched the deal for BJP in UP as the numbers were working in its favour despite facing the difficulties over issues discussed earlier.

1 Response

  1. Haarika says:

    Your analysis is completely wrong.BJP started planning for UP in 2014 itself.You know about pradhanmantri ujwala yojana.This is the one which changed everything.Again on demonitisation your analysis is completely wrong.If you see Modi speeches he mentioned about it in every speech.Akhilesh Yadav is only media hype.If you want people’s pulse you first comeout from your political preference then you can see the pulse of the people otherwise​ you have to to do these type of analysis after every election.

Leave a Comment

Venkaiah For Lucknow As Observer

New Delhi: Union Information Minister M Venkaiah Naidu and senior leader Bhupendra Yadav will go to Uttar Pradesh as observers on the 16th to attend BJP legislature party meeting which will elect the leader.

According to Union Minister JP Nadda, Narendra Tomar and Saroj Pandu will be the party observers for Uttarakhand while Piyush Goel and Vinay Sahasrabudde will go as observers to Manipur. Nitin Gadkari is already in Goa.

The Congress has asked BJP president Amit Shaw on Sunday to stop conspiracies and allow the Congress party to form governments in Goa and Manipur since it had emerged as the single largest party in both the States.

Leave a Comment

Modi Talks Of New India, Thanks Amit Shaw For Big Win

New Delhi: Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Sunday spoke of creating new India by 2022. Participating in the victory celebrations at party office here, Modi profusely thanked party president Amit Shaw, the architect of UP electoral triumph. Modi walked a few yards waving to the jubilant supporters after getting down from car. He was showered with flower petals and thunderous slogans rented the air.

Talking to the supporters, Modi said, “I am seeing a new India, the India of the dreams of the youth. A new India that fulfills the aspirations of women. A new India that is about opportunities for the poor….The poor are saying, we want to progress and we seek the opportunity from you.” He described BJP’s massive victory as an opportunity to serve the people.

The PM said the BJP governments would work for all regardless of some people not voting for the party. The BJP had won huge majorities in UP and Uttarakhand. It is forming governments in Goa and Manipur as well. The BJP had won 312 out of 403 seats in UP Assembly. 13 more seats were won by its allies. It is a remarkable victory for Modi after his historic win in 2014 parliamentary elections. Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar was asked to go to Panaji as chief minister of Goa.

The choice of UP Chief Minister is going to be crucial since it is a very important State which has 80 Lok Sabha seats. Among the probables are: BJP UP unit chief Keshav Prasad Maurya, Lucknow Mayor Dinesh Sharma, Union Minister Manoj Sinha and BJP National secretary Sidharth Nath Singh. Union Home Minister Rajnath Singh also is likely to be sounded.

Leave a Comment

PM to deliver first public speech since Uri

Kozhikode: PM Modi will reach Kozhikode, Kerala for a 2 day visit on Saturday. He will fly to Karipur in the afternoon where he is scheduled to address a public rally on the Kozhikode beach in the evening. Later he will also participate in the National Council meet.

According to the sources, the entire government, including the PM’s Office will function from Kozhikode, Kerala for 2 days, since many of the Central Ministers are participating in the National Council of BJP.

As the nation continues to reel from the Uri terror attack, the terrorism issue is likely to dominate the BJP Conclave. PM Modi is set to make his first public address since the deadly terror attack on an Army base in Uri in which 18 Indian soldiers were killed.

The party itself sought to focus on the pro-poor agenda. BJP President Amit Shah asked its state governments to execute the schemes aimed at the welfare of the poor in the centenary birth anniversary year of its ideologue Deen Dayal Upadhyay.

“It is an occasion for the party to rededicate itself to Deen Dayal Upadhyay’s ideas”, said BJP General Secretary Ram Madhav.

Leave a Comment

BJP leaders from AP meet Modi, Shaw

New Delhi: Leaders of the AP unit of the BJP met Prime Minister Narendra Modi here on Saturday and thanked him for the package the government had announced for their State. AP had observed bandh today in response to a call given by Opposition leader YS Jagan Mohan Reddy in wake of the government decision not to give special status. The Congress and the Left parties had supported the bandh.

The PM had asked Andhra Pradesh leaders to work for the development of their State promising that the Centre would stand by them. The AP leaders of the BJP earlier met the party national president Amit Shah and urged him to address rallies in their State. They made similar request to the prime minister.

The leaders who felt that Finance Minister Arun Jaitley and Urban Development Minister Venkaiah Naidu had discussed the details of the package with the TDP leaders but did not consult them. There is a possibility that the people back home might think that the AP leaders of the party have been deliberately kept out of the talks.

The PMO gave a short tweet saying that Modi had a meeting with the Andhra leaders of the BJP. A total of Rs 22, 113 crore would be given to AP as a grant to cover the revenue deficit from 2014 to 2020.

Please follow us on [button color=”dark blue” link=”https://www.facebook.com/primepostindia/” target=”_blank” icon=”momizat-icon-facebook”]Facebook[/button]  [button color=”blue” link=”https://twitter.com/Primepostindia” target=”_blank” icon=”momizat-icon-twitter”]Twitter[/button]

Leave a Comment

Will Amit Shah Impact Tamil Nadu too?

  • Amit visit to TN on 20th to launch a campaign
  • Rajini yet to concent
  • Vaiko walks out
  • Local issues to be addressed

(Raviteja Kondubhatla)

Chennai, December 9: The political scenario in Tamil Nadu has always been either loyalty-driven or charisma-driven with strong leaders like Anna Durai, Kamraj, Karunanidhi, MGR, Jayalalitha etc., since independence. As nobody in the regional BJP unit has that kind of ‘glamour’ now, the presence of Amit Shah simply is not going to ameliorate the situation here. It has definitely got to bring in some freshness unlike what it did in the Hindi speaking states which have decent amount of NaMo aura to start with.

As local BJP leaders eagerly anticipate Shah’s visit to TN on 20thof this month, it’s indeed a right moment for the BJP to bolster its political strength in an already Congress-less region with the grand old Dravidian dichotomy declining simultaneously. Their nickel-and-dime strategies to align with Vaiko’s MDMK, Ramadoss’s PMK and Vijaykanth’s DMDK for the Lok Sabha polls in 2014 were an epic failure. Some BJP sources announced that they are planning to replicate the strategy model they the BJP had adopted during the recent assembly elections in Haryana. However, Tamil Nadu is a very progressive state unlike UP or Haryana. Hence it’s a little tricky situation with complex politics here. Vaiko has already announced his withdrawal from the NDA since the Centre is allegedly anti-Tamil in the context of Sri Lanka. The national leadership of the BJP has decided that it cannot depend on the temperamental leaders like Vaiko and has to, instead, build up its own cadres. Hence the concentration on Tamil Nadu. The renewed attempts to woo the super star Rajini Kant appear to be fruitless so far as the ageing hero is yet to give his nod for a full-fledged political role.

Neither the Modi rhetoric nor the Rajini stardom alone could help the party break the ice with the existing constraints. It should probably trace back to its fundamental strategies that have brought back BJP to power via RSS i.e. by addressing some of the local issues of Fishermen, Methane Project, Mullaperiyar Dam etc. More the grass root level participation greater would be its penetration in Tamil Nadu. Hence, Shah’s aggression apart, the local party leaders should act wisely before their honeymoon period gets over. Otherwise, there is a high probability of BJP ending up in the same phase that Congress had been stuck for decades.

Leave a Comment

BJP TO ZERO IN ON KCR!

  • Hopes to team up with Kodandram
  • Farmers suicides to be the campaign issue
  • Modi to address public rally in Feb
  • Amit Shah to descend on Jan 20

Hyderabad, December 2: The Telangana Chief Minister better beware. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is forming an elaborate, well-thought out strategy to make inroads into his state. The idea is to reveal to the electorate that the ruling Telangana Rashtra Samiti (TRS) has hardly  anything substantial to show by way of development, after completing its first six months in office on December 2.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi himself will kick off the ‘Telangana Bachao’ campaign with a massive public rally in February. Already, a huge membership drive is underway in all the ten districts. The state BJP president G.Kishan Reddy has claimed that the people were completely disillusioned with this government.

On January 20, BJP National President Amit Shah will land in Hyderabad and lend his weight to the attack. He will lay the ground for Modi’s visit and spur the membership drive. For long, BJP has been eyeing this region and has made substantial inroads. It wrested the prestigious Secunderabad parliamentary seat in April-May general election.

Putting the issue of farmer suicides on the backburner may prove costly for KCR. The failure of the crops as also the farm loan scheme have driven the helpless farmer to take his life. BJP is now contemplating joining hands with Telangana Joint Action Committee (TJAC) to corner KCR effectively on this vital issue.

M.Kodandaram, Chairman of TJAC, was sidelined by his old comrade, the CM after the new state was formed, although the organisation played a pivotal role in the Telangana movement. Actually, BJP as well as TRS, are constituent members of this umbrella organization. With Kodandaram serious about spearheading   a farmers’ agitation, KCR will surely feel the heat from both sides.

The disgruntled man-in-the-street will no doubt be swayed by the well-thought out stratagems and propaganda unleashed by BJP, already on a roll nationally. KCR has anyway not much to show on his report card. BJP’s resounding success all over the country will inevitably beg the question, ‘Can Modi ever go wrong in Telangana?’

Leave a Comment

Exit poll results come true, BJP creates history

  • Exercise afoot to form BJP govts in Maharashtra, Haryana

  • BJP falls short of majority, may opt to partner with Shiv Sena, not NCP

  • Rajnath for Mumbai, Venkaiah for Chandiagarh on Monday to oversee

(K. Kaushik)

bjp leaders with modi--1-19102014

Sushma Swaraj, Modi, Amit Shah, Rajnath Singh and Arun Jaitley

New Delhi, October 19: The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has scored a thumping victory once again. This time it was in Maharashtra and Haryana assembly elections. While in Haryana the BJP has got a clear mandate to form a government on its own, it fell short of a simple majority in Maharashtra and needs 22 seats to be able to form a government. The BJP Parliamentary party has decided to send Rajnath Singh, Union Home Minister and former president of the party, to Mumbai on Monday along with Vice President JP Nadda to attend the first BJP legislature party meeting and take a decision on formation of the new government. Similarly, another veteran leader, past president of the party and Union Minister for Urban Development and Parliamentary Affairs M Venkaiah Naidu would be going to Chandigarh along with another Vice President of the party Dinesh Sharma to help form the first ever BJP government in Haryana.

bjp leaders with modi-3-19102014

Modi and Shah

The BJP parliamentary party today decided that the party would be forming governments in Maharashtra and Haryana. The meeting under the chairmanship of party president Amit Shah was held after the historic victory scored by the BJP in both states.

While the top most feature of the results of the assembly elections announced on Sunday was the continuation of the Modi wave which swept the Lok Sabha polls in May this year, the other most important factor that emerged in this election is that MIM, a Hyderabad based party led by Owaisis, has for the first time won three seats in Maharashtra assembly thus opening its account in the western state. MIM’s debut in Maharashtra elections is a phenomenon that has to be taken note of by the BJP and the Shiv Sena which did not field a single Muslim candidate in this election and which might form the government without a single representative from the Muslim community which has considerable presence in the state.

modi with uddav-191014

Uddhav Thackeray with Modi

The third important development is that no party so far since 1990 has won more than 100 assembly seats in Maharashtra. BJP-Shiv Sena earlier and Congress-National Congress Party (NCP) later ruled the state through coalition governments. As almost equal partners, no party could contest for more that 60 percent of the 288 seats in Maharashtra assembly and, as a result, no party was in a position to win more than a hundred seats. The Shiv Sena and the BJP were in alliance for 25 years and the Congress and the NCP were together for 15 years. Only in this elections both the alliances broke resulting in a four-corner contest with the fifth dimension being provided by Raj Thackeray of Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) who came a cropper this time.

The BJP has bagged 123 seats while the SS got 62, Congress 42 and the NCP 41 seats. Sharad Pawar, a clever politician, has played a trick of sorts by offering outside support to the BJP which fell short of simple majority. But the BJP refused to accept the offer and is most likely to have a tie-up with the Shiv Sena by offering its chief Uddhav Thackeray the deputy chief minister post. Party president Amit Shah has reported called Uddhav from Delhi and spoke to him about revival of the alliance which broke just before the elections. This information came from Shiv Sena sources and the BJP sources vehemently denied it. BJP said Amit Shah did not speak to Uddhav Thackeray.maha result graf 1 copy

Nadda, who briefed the media after the meeting of the BJP parliamentary party, described the victory in two states as endorsement by the people of Narendra Modi’s leadership and the decisions he has taken as PM in the last four months. He said it is the vindication of credible leadership of Narendra Modi and the extraordinary organizational skills of Amit Shah. Modi and Shah are two leaders who carved two victories in two states, the party sources said.

Even before the final vote was counted Praful Patel of NCP announced that his party has offered support from outside to the government to be formed by the BJP. He said there is no backroom understanding with the BJP and it is only an offer made by his party on its own. It is for the BJP to accept or reject its offer. This stratagem is aimed at reducing the bargaining power of the Shiv Sena.

amith shah press meet

Amit Shah

Amit Shah, briefing the media earlier in the evening said it was Modi tsunami. He said the BJP has proved a point to its former ally Shiv Sena by winning more seats than it offered to contest in its talks with the latter on seat-sharing. Shah told the media that it is true the NCP has offered unconditional support from outside and the party has not taken a decision on this. He also claimed it was not the BJP that was responsible for breaking the alliance with the Shiv Sena. The dispute over three seats had resulted in the breakup, he said. He also said that Shiv Sena has always been a friendly party. He gave enough indications to the effect that his party would at last go with the Shiv Sena, a known devil, rather the NCP. The BJP sources made it clear, however, that the party would not accept any proposal from Shiv Sena suggesting rotation of CM.

sharad pawar

Sharad Pawar

Though Sharad Pawar has bowled a googly to escape corruption charges, the BJP is unlikely to walk into the trap. Modi during his whirlwind campaign in Maharashtra had described NCP as the National Corrupt Party. He promised to get the charges of corruption against minister in the outgoing government investigated and punish those who were found guilty. Ajit Pawar, Sharad’s nephew, faces a plethora of corruption charges. Many ministers belonging to NCP have tainted reputation although the Congress ministers were no better. In such a background the BJP is not likely to take the bait offered by the NCP. There is no othergo for the Shiv Sena except walking back into a coalition with the BJP. Sena sources have been indulging in kite flying since Sunday afternoon that Sena has no objection to the idea of having BJP chief minister and Shiv Sena deputy chief minister.

Thing would be more clear on Monday when Rajnath Singh would land in Mumbai.

As far as Haryana is concerned, the way is clear for the BJP which won 47 of the 90 assembly seats. The National Lok Dal (NLD) of Chowthala has won 20 seats while the Congress could bag only 15 seats and the earstwhile partner of the BJP, the HJC has got just 2 seats.

haryana result graf 1 copy

The Congress party has ended up in third position in both the states. The job of Venkaiah Naidu would be easier compared to that of Rajnath Singh. Selection of the chief minister would be a difficult proposition.

Leave a Comment

Exit polls give majority for BJP in Maha, Haryana

  • Hung in Maharashtra, clear in Haryana

  • Shiv Sena in Maha and NLD in Haryana shown in second position

  • Congress would be reduced to a poor third

  • Modi gamble pays rich dividend

  • Actual results to be out on Saturday

  • BJP-129, SS- 77, Cong-43, NCP-34 in Maharashtra Times Now exit poll

  • BJP-37, NLD-29, Congress-15 and RJC-8 in Haryana

  • Needs SS seats to form government in Maharashtra

(K Kausik)

New Delhi, October 15: The exit polls held as the polling took place on Wednesday for Maharashtra and Haryana assemblies indicate a big victory for the BJP. If the exit polls come true, which appears most likely, the two states would have given a clear mandate in favour of Mnarendra modiodi’s pro-development, inclusive and centrist politics.

The Times Now exit poll shows thatthe BJP would bag 129 seats, Shiv Sena 77 seats while the Congress and National Congress Party (NCP) are going to get 43 and 34 seats respectively. MNS of Raj Thackeray is likely to get 5 seats and others 5. In Haryana, the exit polls predict that the BJP would get a simple majority with 37 seats while the Natioanl Lok Dal (NLD) is likely to bag 29, Congress 15 and RJC 8.maharashtra

Opinion polls often failed. Even exit poll predictions did not come true many times. But one agency, Chanakya, did an excellent job in the last assembly elections predicting a sweep for the BJP in MP and Chhattisgarh. It also said the Aam Admi Party would win a little less than a simple majority in Delhi elections. Again in the general elections, Chanakya told the naHARYANA 1tion that the BJP would win a majority in Lok Sabha. Every time it proved to be true. This time too, the BJP is expected by the agency to win 151 assembly seats in 288 seat Maharashtra Assembly and 51 in 90 seat Haryana Assembly.

Well thought out strategy

It is true that Prime Minister Narendra Modi and BJP president Amit Shah have got their strategy right in Maharashtra and Haryana. It was also true that they did not do so well in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar by-elections. In UP, they encouraged saffron brigade to try to polarize the society before polls. But it did not work. In Maharashtra and Haryana, on the other hand, they campaigned on positive lines taking up issues such as development and inclusiveness. Modi not only talked about the development of

narendra modi-shah Maharashtra and Haryana, he spoke of the development of the entire nation and his pet programmes such as Swachh Bharat Abhiyaan (Clean India Campaign).

What Lal Krishna Advani did in late 1980s and early 1990s was followed by Modi now. Advani encouraged young leaders, including Pramod Mahaja and Narendra Modi, and succeeded in preparing the party for future battles. Now Modi and Amit Shah, in their turn, are picking up young leaders and giving them responsibilities. This was not done by the Congress in spite of the fact that young scion of the Nehru-Gandhi dynasty Rahul Gandhi is sought to be elevated as the party president. It paid a heavy price.

Incumbency, one of the factors

That was, however, was not the only reason for the rout the Congress faced. In Maharashtra, it had to contend with the incumbent factor of being in power for as many as 15 years and in Haryana it was a ten year incumbency. Add scams, corruption, inefficiency, factionalism and nepotism. The Congress was bound to lose. It would have been a miracle had the Congress managed to win in either of the states.

Modi’s gamble had paid off handsomely. He projected himself and none else. Party’s patriarch Advani and another founder of the party Murali Manohar Joshi were not asked to campaing. Other top leaders did their big in parts. But the main campaigner has been rahul gandhiPrime Minister Modi.  He jumped into the battle soon after returning from the US. He took care to undertake course correction both in Maharashtra and Haryana.

When the talks intended to finalise the seat sharing between BJP and Shiv Sena were going on and on with the Shiv Sena playing tough, Modi and Amit Shah put their foot down and decided to break the 25 years old alliance. It was a great gamble to go it alone and it paid good dividends. It was a rude shock to Shiv Sena. Again, with future need in mind, Modi did not criticize the SS or its founder Balasaheb Thackeray. He concentrated his attack on the Congress and the NCP calling both the most corrupt parties. When the Shiv Sena leaders stated campaigning that Modi would divide Maharashtra, he promised uddhav thackeray 1that the state would be intact and nobody would be allowed to play with the integrity of the state.  In Haryana, the Congress leaders cleverly managed to paint BJP and the NLD as friendly parties which are bound to join hands after the elections. They said that was the reason why Chowthala was granted bail and no BJP leader complained when Chowthala was participating in campaign although he got the bail on health ground. People almost believed that the BJP and the NLD are in hand-in-glove. Had this impression continued, the BJP would have had a setback. Modi had corrected the course in the middle of the campaign and mounted a severe attack on Chowthala and the politics of NLD. He called the NLD leaders as ruffians and the Congress corrupt. That seemed to have cleared doubts in the minds of the voters.

Modi as BJP mascot

The BJP did not project any leader for the post of chief minister in both the states. Modi was the face of the campaign. He was the mascot of the BJP. In both Maharashtra and Haryana, there are sitting CMs belonging to the Congress and had the party won they would have continued in the position. The 6.4 crore voters in two states did not care about the chief ministers or chief minster candidates. They voted for a stable and able national party as against regional parties. The Congress and NCP also fell apart after being together in government for 15 years. There were corruption allegations against leaders of both the parties. The Chief Ministerial hopeful of NCP Ajit Pawar was aggressive in his attacks on the Congress.

sharad pawarGovernance has come to the fore of Indian politics. Modi, by design and default, represents the culture of good governance. It is not just anti-incumbency that cost the Congress dearly, it is bad governance more than anything else. Recently, the BJP won for the third time in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Gujarat.  Pankaja Munde or Devendra Fadnavis are expected to become chief minister of Maharashtra while Captain Abhimanyu is likely to succeed Bhoopinder Hooda in Haryana. Whoever becomes chief minister, good governance is expected of him or her. People have no patience for inefficient and corrupt governments. That was the message the voters of the two states have delivered for the nation.

2 more congress bastions fall

Thus two more Congress bastions fell for the BJP. What would the Congress do now. There is no point in blaming Rahul Gandhi who did not concentrate on election campaign or Sonia Gandhi who was only a shadow of hers and who was simply going through the motions of campaigning mechanically. On the other hand, Modi was speaking like a champion. Amit Shah was presenting a picture of confidence.

There has been a lot of criticism that Modi government has been slow in taking policy decisions and that it has slowed down the process of economic reforms. Now that the elections are out of the way, the nation can expect NDA government to go about the business of introducing the second generation reforms removing the cobwebs in the path of progress.

Will Modi reduce the importance of RSS and other Hindu organizations like Bajarangdal? It is a mood point. What he did in Gujarat may not be easy to be repeated on the national scale. Will he disown the BJP promise to create the state of Vidarbha and its policy of smaller states? It is a delicate point and a complicated issue after Modi made the promise in the election camapaign that as long he was PM nobody would be allowed to divide Maharashtra. Only time would decide the contentious issues. But one can be assured that Haryana and Maharashtra would be getting new governments which would be asked by Modi to concentrate on good governance.

Leave a Comment