India Today Poll Gives Edge to BJP in UP
- BSP, SP stand second and third
New Delhi: The India Today-Axis Opinion Poll has revealed that the BJP would continue its dominant position that was visible in the Lok Sabha elections in 2014 in the forthcoming Assembly elections too. India Today channel has given out the findings on Wednesday evening. The survey says BJP would bag 170-183 seats while the BSP is likely to get 115-124 seats and the incumbent SP 94-103. The Congress was given 8-12 seats notwithstanding the marathon one month Kisan yatra undertaken by the party’s Vice President Rahul Gandhi recently
In the 403-member UP Assembly, a party has to win 202 to seat to get a simple majority. If the survey results come true in the actual elections scheduled to take place in January next year, no party would get majority and the result would be a hung Assembly. Though the BJP was supposed to be winning more seats than any other party, Mayawati of the BSP is thought to be a good chief minister candidate next time. While 31 percent of the respondents wanted four-time chief minister Mayawati to be the chief minister again, 27 percent wanted the present incumbent Akhilesh to continue in the job. Akhilesh’s father Mulayam Singh Yadav fared as badly as the Congress chief minister candidate Sheila Dikshit with just one percent. The Congress has been out of power in UP for 27 years and it is striving hard to become relevant in the largest and politically most important State in the country. Priyanka Gandhi Vadra who is going to campaign outside the family pocket burrows of Amethi and Rae Barely was backed by only two percent of the respondents for the chief minister’s post.
Another interesting part of the poll results is that Union Home Minister who was chief minister of UP earlier was polled 18 percent and the firebrand saffron leader Yogi Adityanand was preferred by 14 percent of the respondents. Asked if Congress-mukt Bharat is possible, more than 50 percent of the respondents rejected the BJP’s idea of wiping away Congress from the country. 54 percent of the respondents said they do not envisage the country sans the Congress party while 29 percent said they would go with the BJP while 17 percent remained non-committal.
The BJP had performed exceedingly well in the Lok Sabha elections of 2014. It secured 71 out of 80 Lok Sabha seats in UP. The only Congress candidates who withstood the BJP wave were Sonia Gandhi and Rahul Gandhi representing Amethi and Rae Bareli respectively. To a pointed question if Rahul Gandhi can revive the Congress party’s fortunes, 38 percent of the respondents have said that he is the best bet for the revival of the party. His sister Priyanka has been preferred by mere 17 percent although the popular perception outside UP is that she has better chances of reviving the party in UP. Sheil Dikshit is trusted to do the job by only 9 percent of the respondents. 88 percent of the respondents said that the BJP should make development as its major plank. It was the case in 2014 elections too. The people of UP appear to have put Rama Janma Bhoomi and Ayodhya temple issues behind them. Only three percent favoured the BJP’s view of Rama Janma Bhoomi and just one percent approved the BJP’s purported stand on Ayodhya. 54 percent of the people whose opinions were sought in the survey had said atrocities on Dalits and minorities have increased in the last five years of Akhilesh rule.
There are at least three months to go for the UP poll. There may not be any dramatic developments in the meanwhile. The ruling party at the centre would like to maintain the tempo created by the surgical strikes till the UP elections are over.